PP4: SWERVE: Severe Weather Events Risk and Vulnerability Estimator

This Programme Package has seen the development of a set of computer models for determining current and future extreme weather event probabilities. These events have included flooding, heatwaves, water resource drought, wind, lightning and subsidence. These models are based on the development of existing ‘weather generator' models for providing time series of potential temperature, evaporation and precipitation.

A mapping framework has been developed to identify the probability of local extreme weather events and risk ‘hotspots' as well as the probability of combined weather events occurring in any one place.

By combining existing and emerging technologies to provide local-scale estimates of extreme weather event probabilities the work significantly improves the ability to assess risk and explore the current and future impacts of climate change.

For more detail go to: PP4 SWERVE